Table of Contents
Part 1: Background to the Present Situation
Introduction: WW2 and all that (Page 2)
Chapter 1: Why macroeconomics must be replaced (Page 9)
Part 2: Proposed New Approach
Chapter 2: The ducks formed a row and hid in plain sight – for decades (Page 49)
2.1. Criteria for allocating enterprises between categories on the basis of managerial motivation and efficiency (Page 49)
2.2. Managerial or business economics (Page 56)
2.3. System dynamics modelling (Page 56)
2.4. Discriminant analysis (Page 58)
2.5. Ratio analysis (Page 59)
2.6. Calculation of overall ‘scores’ for individual enterprises (Page 59)
Chapter 3: What replaces macroeconomics? (Page 60)
Chapter 4: Reform of public-sector management control and processes of providing advice to ministers (Page 66)
4.1. Proposed new arrangements (Page 66)
4.2. A case study (Page 72)
Chapter 5: Future conduct of national economic management and policy (Page 75)
5.1. Overall (Page 75)
5.2. The pandemic (Page 77)
5.2.1. Problems are also opportunities (Page 77)
5.2.2. Responsiveness of the orthodoxy (Page 79)
5.3. US House and Senate Budget Committees. Proposed initiatives to help pay for the multi-trillion social spending bill (Page 80)
Chapter 6: The largest group self-indulgence in history? (Page 82)
Part 3: Selected Problem Areas
Chapter 7: Global Financial Crisis 2007-8 and aftermath (Page 87)
7.1. Real causes of, and solutions to, the Global Financial Crisis 2007-? (Page 89)
7.2. The Okonogi interview of Paul Samuelson (Page 100)
7.3. US poverty (Page 103)
Chapter 8: Brexit (Page 110)
Chapter 9: Alleged criminal use of bank facilities and processes: the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) and other financial institutions (Page 114)
Chapter 10: US Health Care System (USHCS) (Page 117)
10.1. Functional content and features of the USHCS (Page 120)
10.1.1. The overall system (Page 120)
10.1.2. Medicaid (Page 125)
10.1.3. Medicare (Page 133)
10.1.4. System regulators (Page 137)
10.2. The existing situation (Page 138)
10.2.1. Federal coverage mandates (Page 138)
10.2.2. The uninsured, including public opinion about them (Page 142)
10.2.3. Hospital costs and margins (Page 143)
10.2.4. Insurers, including government payments/subsidies to (Page 144)
10.2.5. Subsidies to help afford coverage (Page 148)
10.3. Attempts at reform. Republican attempts to repeal Obamacare, plus other ideas for ‘improving’ health care (Page 149)
10.4. Reasons for problems and for failures to reform (Page 160)
10.4.1. Desired government involvement (Page 160)
10.4.2. What’s wrong with the system? (Page 162)
10.5. A best-practice solution (Page 173)
Part 4: A Selection of Professional Applications of the Management Control and Planning Techniques
Chapter 11: Hospital: a professional system dynamics application (Page 178)
11.1. Nature and content of the software (Page 178)
11.2. Functionality of the hospital models (Page 180)
11.3. Uses of the software (Page 181)
Chapter 12: Operational air force: a professional system dynamics application (Page 184)
12.1. Introduction (Page 184)
12.2. Content of the software (Page 184)
12.3. Aggregation from unit level to higher command and seniority levels (Page 185)
12.4. How is the software validated? (Page 186)
12.5. Uses of the software (Page 187)
12.6. Independent air force assessments (Page 188)
Chapter 13: Airline: a professional system dynamics application (Page 189)
13.1. Content of the software: overview (Page 189)
13.2. The airline global scheduled flying model (Page 191)
13.3. Functionality of the airline global scheduled flying model (Page 192)
13.4. Functionality of the combined model ‘airline global scheduled flying and engineering and maintenance’ (Page 193)
13.5. Uses of the software (Page 194)
Chapter 14: Rail network: a professional system dynamics application (Page 195)
14.1. The rail-network model: introduction (Page 195)
14.2. Content of the software (Page 197)
14.3. Functionality of the rail-network model (Page 199)
14.4. Uses of the software (Page 201)
Chapter 15: Hotel: a professional system dynamics application (Page 203)
15.1. The hotel model: introduction (Page 203)
15.2. Functionality of the hotel model (Page 205)
15.3. Uses of the software (Page 206)
Postscript
End of a latter-day pax romana? (Page 207)
Appendices
Appendix 1: Email correspondence with the London School of Economics about Brexit (Page 210)
Appendix 2: Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA): alleged criminal use of its ‘smart ATMs’ (Page 215)
Appendix 3: Australian Royal Commission into Misconduct in the Banking, Superannuation and Financial Services Industry: submission (Page 225)
Appendix 4: Independent Review of the Australian Federal Public Service (APS): submission (Page 232)
Appendix 5: Australia’s National Broadband Network (Page 238)
Appendix 6: Feedback loops, positive and negative (Page 239)
Appendix 7: Letter of 23 November 2018 to the Hon. Jerome H Powell, Chairman, Federal Reserve Board; and a response dated 20 December 2018 (Page 240)
Appendix 8: Letter of 27 March 2009 to President Obama (Page 243)
Appendix 9: Letter of 3 April 2017 to Sir Jeremy Heywood, UK Cabinet Secretary (Page 246)
Appendix 10:
a) Letter of 27 July 2020 to Dr Steven Kennedy, Secretary, Australian Federal Treasury
b) letter copied to Dr Richard Denniss, Chief Economist, Australia Institute 2 September 2020 (Page 248)
Appendix 11: US House and Senate Budget Committees. Proposed initiatives to help pay for the multi-trillion social spending bill (Page 250)
Appendix 12: Validation measures for system dynamics models (Page 253)
Appendix 13: How central bankers blew up the global economy, Verrender, Ian, ABC business editor, March 11 2019 (Page 256)
Appendix 14: Problems in Australian Defence Matériel Procurement. Comments on media statements by Defence Ministers, 10 October 2022 (Page 259)
Appendix 15: Confederation of British Industry: macroeconomic strongpoint? (Page 262)
Appendix 16: Office of the Leader of the UK Opposition. Apparent ongoing commitment to the macroeconomic orthodoxy (Page 266)
Appendix 17: New software for NHS hospitals (Page 268)
Appendix 18: Other correspondence with UK Health and the NHS (Page 269)
Appendix 19: Transport for NSW (Page 273)
Bibliography
Bibliography (Page 279)
Index
Index (Page 285)